The Futures Wheel
Antecipar deixa de ser exercício linear ao tornar visíveis as cadeias de consequências que atravessam decisões e tendências. A Futures Wheel organiza essas relações e amplia a capacidade de pensar de forma sistêmica.
The Futures Wheel is a method for identifying and packaging primary, secondary, and tertiary consequences of trends, events, emerging issues, and future possible decisions. It was invented in 1971 by Jerome C. Glenn, then a student at the Antioch Graduate School of Education, now called Antioch University New England. It was spread by workshops on futuristic curriculum development conducted by the Program for the Study of the Future, School of Education, University of Massachusetts during the early 1970s, and shortly thereafter, by futurist trainers and consultants as a method for engaging workshop participants in thinking about future consequences, and decisionmakers for input to their policy analysis process and forecasting.